Uruguay’s four-day qualifying stretch has to be among the toughest faced by any nation in the world involved in World Cup qualifying: It goes from losing 3-0 on the road to Lionel Messi and reigning South American champs Argentina, to traveling to the Amazon and the city of Manaus to face undefeated Brazil on Thursday.
Brazil may no longer be perfect after its 0-0 draw in Colombia on Sunday, but it’s undefeated and it has yet to give up a goal at home in World Cup qualifying. That’s how strong the No. 2-ranked team in the world has been with nearly a year to go before the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar.
Comfortably perched atop the South American standings, Brazil (9-0-1, 28 points) is a cinch to book its ticket to Qatar over the next few matches, but it measures itself differently from other nations. When it takes the field in the Amazon Arena in Manaus to play for the first time in front of fans — 14,000 are expected — it will want to win, entertain and concede nothing to the opposition.
MORE: Updated standings, schedules & highlights
Uruguay (4-3-4, 16 points) is also in a decent spot: It sits in fourth place which would be enough to secure a direct berth to Qatar (the top four teams qualify directly while fifth place is involved in a play-in series). But it will have to fight off the challenge from Colombia, Paraguay, Peru and Chile.
With the likes of Luis Suarez (Uruguay), Edinson Cavani (Uruguay), Neymar (Brazil) and Lucas Paqueta (Brazil) on the field, this is the marquee matchup of the 12th of 18 rounds of matches in South America even if it feels like we all know how this is likely to go: Brazil is unbeaten in 59 at home (47-0-12) and Uruguay has never claimed a qualifying win in Brazil (though it has three draws).
How to watch Brazil vs. Uruguay
- Date: Thursday, Oct. 14
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Streaming: fuboTV
Brazil vs. Uruguay and every World Cup qualifying match in South America can be streamed exclusively on fuboTV in English and Spanish.
The matches are also available on a pay-per-view basis via cable and satellite TV providers.
Brazil vs. Uruguay: Lineups
Outlets in Brazil say head coach Tite is expected to make five changes to his lineup with Ederson manning the nets and Tottenham right back Emerson Royal getting the start. Lucas Verissimo will step in to give Marquinhos a breather and Raphinha will get the start wide right. Real Madrid central defender Eder Militao is out injured.
Brazil projected starting lineup (4-2-3-1, left to right): 23-Ederson-GK — 6-Alex Sandro, 3-Thiago Silva, 22-Lucas Verissimo, 13-Emerson Royal — 8-Fred, 5-Fabinho — 10-Lucas Paqueta, 10-Neymar, Raphinha — 9-Gabriel Jesus
Brazil projected subs: 1-Alisson-GK, 2-Weverton-GK, 16-Guilherme Arana, 4-Marquinhos, 2-Danilo, 15-Edenilson, 7-Gerson, 18-Vinicius Junior, 19-Arthur Cabral, 20-Antony, 11-Everton Ribeiro, 21-Gabriel Barbosa, Douglas Luiz
Uruguay are reportedly pairing up Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani at forward with Nicolas De La Cruz playing right behind them. The Celeste will be missing Jose Maria Gimenez, Ronaldo Araujo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta, but Rodrigo Betancur is back from suspension due to yellow card accumulation.
Uruguay projected starting lineup (4-4-2, left to right): 1-Fernando Muslera-GK — 22-Joaquin Piquerez, 3-Diego Godin, 19-Sebastian Coates, 8-Nahitan Nandez — 7-Nicolas De La Cruz, 15-Federico Valverde, 5-Matias Vecino, 6-Rodrigo Betancur — 9-Luis Suarez, 21-Edinson Cavani
Uruguay projected subs: 23-Sergio Rochet-GK, 12-Martin Campana-GK, Martin Caceres, 17-Matias Vina, 13-Giovanni Gonzalez, 20-Facundo Torres, 14-Lucas Torreira, 11-Gaston Pereiro, 18-Darwin Nunez, Fernando Gorriaran, Augustin Alvarez Martinez, 16-Brian Rodriguez
Brazil vs. Uruguay: Betting odds & prediction
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
Pick: Brazil -1 Asian Handicap (-115)
Although Uruguay had its chances against Argentina on Sunday, the 3-0 loss was ultimately an accurate reflection of the difference in talent between the two sides. It will be the same case in Manaus, and while the result may not turn out to be quite as lopsided, Brazil should at least be one goal better. Brazil also has the best team defense in the tournament — three goals allowed in 10 games — and won’t get scored on easily.
The Brazil -1 Asian Handicap may not be wildly adventurous, but neither is the play we’ll see on display between these two teams. It’s decent protection if the Selecao has an off day in front of goal.
Prediction: Brazil 2, Uruguay 0
- Moneyline: Brazil -210 / Draw +310 / Uruguay +750
- Spread (Asian Handicap): Brazil -1 (-110) / Uruguay +1 (+100)
- O/U 2.5 total goals: Over +130 / Under -160
- Both Teams To Score: Yes +155 / No -205